Bitcoin Advocate Samson Mow Outlines Two Scenarios for BTC

Bitcoin advocate Samson Mow is outlining two possible scenarios for Bitcoin (BTC) as the crypto king hovers below the all-time high reached earlier this week. Mow warns his 352,200 followers on X that if Bitcoin undergoes a “Godzilla or Omega” rally and sucks “all the oxygen out of the room,” altcoins could fall by 30% to 40%.

Scenario Analysis

In the second scenario, Mow says,

“Altcoin mania peaks, triggering a massive sell-off as the Bagholder’s Dilemma loses equilibrium, BTC goes down briefly then up again, as altcoins tank.” The Bagholder’s Dilemma refers to a psychological trap where an investor holds onto a rapidly depreciating cryptocurrency, refusing to sell in the hope that the price of the asset will recover.

Ethereum Market Cap Concerns

Turning to Ethereum (ETH), Mow says it is “impossible” for the asset’s market cap to equal the value of 4.6 million BTC.

“This has to correct sooner or later.” Ethereum is trading at $4,642 at time of writing, while its market cap stands at a little over $540 billion.

Unstaking Ethereum

According to the Bitcoin advocate, the unstaking of Ethereum could catalyze a correction in the second-largest crypto asset.

“Ethereum still has to come down a lot more. There’s around $3 billion in ETH that is being unstaked right now, which is a tedious process (by design) whereby you have to queue first and then withdraw. Once the floodgates open, I expect ETH/USD to drop massively.”

ETH/BTC Pair Predictions

In the case of the Ethereum/Bitcoin (ETH/BTC) pair, Mow says it could drop by around 21% from the current level.

“The flippening will never happen, but the unstaking is coming. As of August 14, 2025, there are currently 768,400 ETH in the Ethereum validator exit queue. That’s roughly $3.5 billion. ETH/BTC could revert to 0.03 [BTC] or lower.” At time of writing, ETH/BTC is trading at 0.038 BTC.

Follow us on X, Facebook and Telegram

Don’t Miss a Beat – Subscribe to get email alerts delivered directly to your inbox

Check Price Action

Surf The Daily Hodl Mix